Crude Oil Industry Chain (原油产业链)¶
An analytical framework for understanding crude oil markets across multiple dimensions.
Dimensions¶
Information Dimension (信息维度)¶
- Macro & deep factors: US financial hegemony, energy substitution trends, historical cycles
- US retreating globally but attempting to bind USD hegemony through financial means
- Oil as "mother of industry" — short-term replacement by new energy unlikely
Monetary Cycle Dimension (货币周期)¶
- Credit currency over-issuance with limited goods
- Wealth concentration reduces liquidity but may push asset prices higher
- Historical precedent: precious metals and non-ferrous metals already rose; crude oil chain may follow
Data Dimension (数据维度)¶
- Historical vs. current data comparison and projection
- Qualitative-quantitative intersection visible in annual/monthly/weekly K-line charts
- Quantitative analysis as trading action guide (supply > demand vs. supply < demand)