Geopolitical Risk & Supply Risk Data Source
Raw data extracted from 地缘政治与供应风险.xlsx. File contains 6 data sheets spanning geopolitical risk indices, economic policy uncertainty, economic surprise indices, and ZEW sentiment indicators. All data sourced from iFinD (同花顺).
Sheet 1: GPR Daily Index (地缘政治风险指数GPR(日))
- Rows: 15,036 data rows (row 5 to 15040)
- Date range: Most recent is 2026-03-02, data extends back decades (reverse chronological)
- Unit: 1985-2019 = 100
- Columns: Date | GPR Index | GPR Acts Index (行为) | GPR Threats Index (威胁)
- Source IDs: G017266925, G017266926, G017266927
Most Recent Daily Values (March 2026)
| Date |
GPR Index |
GPR Acts |
GPR Threats |
| 2026-03-02 |
0 (data gap) |
557.93 |
804.97 |
| 2026-03-01 |
369.02 |
461.99 |
371.07 |
February 2026 Daily Values
| Date |
GPR Index |
GPR Acts |
GPR Threats |
| 2026-02-28 |
161.08 |
167.56 |
186.35 |
| 2026-02-27 |
265.01 |
204.15 |
360.59 |
| 2026-02-26 |
216.31 |
98.58 |
318.62 |
| 2026-02-25 |
149.44 |
86.90 |
227.82 |
| 2026-02-24 |
257.86 |
105.46 |
395.86 |
| 2026-02-23 |
149.68 |
116.78 |
173.17 |
| 2026-02-22 |
78.13 |
15.58 |
129.93 |
| 2026-02-21 |
134.77 |
42.43 |
176.95 |
| 2026-02-20 |
148.60 |
74.07 |
236.84 |
| 2026-02-19 |
160.39 |
36.90 |
246.21 |
| 2026-02-18 |
170.36 |
75.48 |
251.84 |
| 2026-02-17 |
96.82 |
82.73 |
92.01 |
| 2026-02-16 |
80.99 |
0 |
134.69 |
| 2026-02-15 |
21.65 |
0 |
36.01 |
| 2026-02-14 |
109.96 |
123.33 |
114.29 |
| 2026-02-13 |
152.89 |
101.61 |
207.18 |
| 2026-02-12 |
165.95 |
127.26 |
201.68 |
| 2026-02-11 |
128.39 |
153.60 |
96.09 |
| 2026-02-10 |
65.86 |
26.26 |
87.62 |
| 2026-02-09 |
139.18 |
124.88 |
115.74 |
| 2026-02-08 |
82.58 |
54.89 |
106.82 |
| 2026-02-07 |
195.71 |
144.52 |
229.04 |
| 2026-02-06 |
126.92 |
101.22 |
158.30 |
| 2026-02-05 |
199.15 |
225.01 |
165.60 |
| 2026-02-04 |
336.54 |
342.08 |
471.89 |
| 2026-02-03 |
174.35 |
128.75 |
182.56 |
| 2026-02-02 |
91.65 |
78.32 |
87.10 |
| 2026-02-01 |
106.86 |
65.56 |
136.70 |
January 2026 Daily Values
| Date |
GPR Index |
GPR Acts |
GPR Threats |
| 2026-01-31 |
129.20 |
61.80 |
180.50 |
| 2026-01-30 |
161.46 |
72.70 |
233.90 |
| 2026-01-29 |
177.90 |
122.30 |
244.80 |
| 2026-01-28 |
134.14 |
93.00 |
184.30 |
| 2026-01-27 |
207.04 |
97.10 |
283.60 |
| 2026-01-26 |
75.15 |
69.20 |
67.30 |
| 2026-01-25 |
85.38 |
68.10 |
99.40 |
| 2026-01-24 |
101.41 |
44.90 |
149.90 |
| 2026-01-23 |
193.85 |
136.40 |
256.00 |
| 2026-01-22 |
134.96 |
85.60 |
153.00 |
| 2026-01-21 |
180.69 |
144.10 |
220.40 |
| 2026-01-20 |
251.91 |
138.10 |
303.70 |
| 2026-01-19 |
192.40 |
116.80 |
222.60 |
| 2026-01-18 |
89.53 |
97.40 |
81.20 |
| 2026-01-17 |
88.19 |
33.00 |
128.30 |
| 2026-01-16 |
195.94 |
85.50 |
285.10 |
| 2026-01-15 |
153.80 |
47.20 |
226.30 |
| 2026-01-14 |
120.80 |
63.40 |
179.80 |
| 2026-01-13 |
168.03 |
119.70 |
229.50 |
| 2026-01-12 |
186.72 |
151.70 |
241.50 |
| 2026-01-11 |
119.83 |
34.10 |
199.30 |
| 2026-01-10 |
192.53 |
112.90 |
273.10 |
| 2026-01-09 |
131.63 |
142.20 |
118.60 |
| 2026-01-08 |
268.92 |
170.60 |
335.40 |
| 2026-01-07 |
242.70 |
65.40 |
349.10 |
| 2026-01-06 |
248.61 |
67.00 |
368.80 |
| 2026-01-05 |
263.89 |
166.20 |
300.30 |
| 2026-01-04 |
136.95 |
85.30 |
170.80 |
| 2026-01-03 |
192.13 |
184.90 |
198.30 |
| 2026-01-02 |
175.08 |
111.70 |
232.90 |
Spike Analysis (Feb-March 2026)
Major daily spikes (GPR > 250 or component > 400):
- 2026-03-02: GPR Acts = 557.93, GPR Threats = 804.97 (EXTREME -- both components spiking, GPR main index shows 0 which may be a data gap)
- 2026-03-01: GPR = 369.02, Acts = 461.99 (major escalation event)
- 2026-02-04: GPR = 336.54, Acts = 342.08, Threats = 471.89 (early-Feb spike)
- 2026-02-27: GPR = 265.01, Threats = 360.59
- 2026-02-24: GPR = 257.86, Threats = 395.86
- 2026-01-20: GPR = 251.91
- 2026-01-08: GPR = 268.92, Threats = 335.40
- 2026-01-05: GPR = 263.89
Sheet 2: GPR Monthly Index (地缘政治风险指数GPR(月))
- Rows: 1,504 data rows
- Date range: Most recent Feb 2026
- Unit: 1985-2019 = 100 (core indices); % (reporting shares)
- Columns: 56 columns including core indices and country-level GPR reporting shares
Core Monthly GPR Indices (Last 18 Months)
| Month |
GPR Index |
GPR Acts |
GPR Threats |
Total Share % |
| 2026-02 |
116.70 |
84.02 |
149.57 |
3.50 |
| 2026-01 |
167.67 |
99.69 |
219.09 |
5.03 |
| 2025-12 |
130.89 |
122.13 |
144.22 |
3.93 |
| 2025-11 |
104.41 |
88.93 |
118.65 |
3.13 |
| 2025-10 |
154.44 |
149.26 |
168.80 |
4.63 |
| 2025-09 |
122.89 |
114.16 |
138.33 |
3.69 |
| 2025-08 |
136.24 |
119.10 |
157.75 |
4.09 |
| 2025-07 |
134.32 |
118.82 |
157.33 |
4.03 |
| 2025-06 |
221.70 |
181.30 |
286.83 |
6.65 |
| 2025-05 |
164.21 |
146.37 |
201.01 |
4.93 |
| 2025-04 |
140.93 |
131.80 |
159.43 |
4.23 |
| 2025-03 |
172.65 |
157.95 |
191.86 |
5.18 |
| 2025-02 |
136.43 |
140.01 |
137.77 |
4.09 |
| 2025-01 |
112.33 |
109.84 |
115.36 |
3.37 |
| 2024-12 |
142.37 |
164.81 |
128.26 |
4.27 |
| 2024-11 |
128.90 |
127.43 |
139.15 |
3.87 |
| 2024-10 |
130.69 |
142.82 |
128.41 |
3.92 |
| 2024-09 |
130.36 |
135.55 |
134.04 |
3.91 |
Monthly GPR Sub-Component Shares (Feb 2026)
| Component |
Share % |
| War Threats (战争威胁) |
0.84 |
| Peace (和平) |
0.05 |
| Arms (军备) |
1.99 |
| Nuclear Threats (核威胁) |
0.87 |
| Terrorism (恐怖主义) |
0.11 |
| War Initiation (开战) |
0.87 |
| Escalation (战情升温) |
0.46 |
| Terror Acts (恐怖行动) |
0.31 |
Country-Level GPR Reporting Shares (Feb 2026)
| Country |
Share % |
| United States (美国) |
3.05 |
| Russia (俄罗斯) |
1.25 |
| United Kingdom (英国) |
1.11 |
| Israel (以色列) |
1.10 |
| Ukraine (乌克兰) |
0.86 |
| China (中国) |
0.80 |
| France (法国) |
0.55 |
| Venezuela (委内瑞拉) |
0.56 |
| Canada (加拿大) |
0.43 |
| India (印度) |
0.43 |
| Turkey (土耳其) |
0.37 |
| Germany (德国) |
0.37 |
| Saudi Arabia (沙特阿拉伯) |
0.34 |
| Mexico (墨西哥) |
0.31 |
| Egypt (埃及) |
0.24 |
| South Korea (韩国) |
0.21 |
| Japan (日本) |
0.17 |
| Switzerland (瑞士) |
0.17 |
| Australia (澳大利亚) |
0.15 |
| Italy (意大利) |
0.13 |
| Denmark (丹麦) |
0.12 |
| Spain (西班牙) |
0.12 |
| Poland (波兰) |
0.12 |
| Taiwan (中国台湾) |
0.12 |
| Sweden (瑞典) |
0.11 |
| Brazil (巴西) |
0.10 |
| Hungary (匈牙利) |
0.09 |
| Argentina (阿根廷) |
0.07 |
| Belgium (比利时) |
0.07 |
| Finland (芬兰) |
0.07 |
| Netherlands (荷兰) |
0.07 |
| Norway (挪威) |
0.07 |
| Thailand (泰国) |
0.05 |
| South Africa (南非) |
0.05 |
| Colombia (哥伦比亚) |
0.04 |
| Indonesia (印度尼西亚) |
0.04 |
| Malaysia (马来西亚) |
0.04 |
| Philippines (菲律宾) |
0.03 |
| Chile (智利) |
0.02 |
| Hong Kong (中国香港) |
0.01 |
| Peru (秘鲁) |
0.01 |
| Portugal (葡萄牙) |
0.01 |
Sheet 3: Economic Policy Uncertainty Index - Monthly (经济政策不确定性指数(月))
- Rows: 604 data rows
- Date range: Most recent Feb 2026
- Unit: Mean = 100
- Columns: 58 indicators covering global aggregates, US sub-indices, and country-level EPU
US EPU Indices (Last 14 Months)
| Month |
US News |
US Total |
US Weighted |
US Trade |
US Fiscal |
US Tax |
US Health |
US NatSec |
US Reg |
US FinReg |
US SovDebt |
| 2026-02 |
386.00 |
262.27 |
356.93 |
3146.54 |
433.22 |
481.48 |
555.89 |
229.87 |
475.54 |
162.08 |
86.81 |
| 2026-01 |
371.33 |
253.69 |
344.12 |
2250.26 |
425.54 |
473.03 |
683.94 |
283.76 |
485.76 |
246.84 |
71.01 |
| 2025-12 |
288.60 |
205.28 |
359.16 |
3115.98 |
358.45 |
384.91 |
653.27 |
250.07 |
379.43 |
344.03 |
62.75 |
| 2025-11 |
311.65 |
218.77 |
336.52 |
3178.67 |
396.78 |
417.42 |
565.06 |
274.22 |
311.30 |
101.98 |
30.86 |
| 2025-10 |
308.34 |
217.51 |
340.45 |
2558.28 |
391.26 |
413.12 |
765.28 |
292.61 |
325.18 |
126.88 |
65.70 |
| 2025-09 |
319.84 |
224.24 |
331.64 |
3767.43 |
375.56 |
406.97 |
547.45 |
235.97 |
230.60 |
109.88 |
30.48 |
| 2025-08 |
370.93 |
254.13 |
291.43 |
2727.15 |
322.08 |
344.38 |
459.31 |
270.16 |
269.19 |
159.38 |
10.40 |
| 2025-07 |
372.06 |
251.76 |
364.91 |
3371.64 |
447.40 |
483.95 |
530.66 |
277.08 |
467.45 |
243.59 |
63.59 |
| 2025-06 |
375.59 |
253.82 |
379.36 |
3537.47 |
494.28 |
529.57 |
677.35 |
293.75 |
400.58 |
170.51 |
378.36 |
| 2025-05 |
563.98 |
364.05 |
488.92 |
5780.04 |
618.66 |
634.20 |
912.08 |
537.53 |
466.95 |
133.02 |
98.39 |
| 2025-04 |
724.94 |
460.11 |
536.90 |
7955.65 |
688.95 |
738.80 |
713.75 |
765.62 |
443.26 |
401.20 |
508.72 |
| 2025-03 |
446.30 |
297.08 |
494.25 |
5912.11 |
625.95 |
642.23 |
602.54 |
646.92 |
385.30 |
409.31 |
119.77 |
| 2025-02 |
329.29 |
228.62 |
318.84 |
2583.90 |
366.30 |
387.18 |
508.76 |
302.75 |
339.20 |
258.09 |
137.87 |
| 2025-01 |
236.79 |
167.39 |
236.44 |
1725.71 |
291.74 |
293.15 |
415.25 |
159.32 |
345.68 |
97.22 |
9.81 |
US EPU Monetary Policy Sub-Index
| Month |
US Monetary Policy |
| 2026-02 |
282.12 |
| 2026-01 |
302.71 |
| 2025-12 |
247.62 |
| 2025-11 |
261.68 |
| 2025-10 |
244.72 |
| 2025-09 |
374.76 |
| 2025-08 |
288.03 |
| 2025-07 |
342.21 |
| 2025-06 |
288.23 |
| 2025-05 |
422.14 |
| 2025-04 |
452.77 |
| 2025-03 |
448.74 |
US EPU Additional Sub-Indices (Feb 2026)
| Sub-Index |
Value |
| Federal/State/Local Spending Forecast |
109.52 |
| CPI Forecast Differential |
66.39 |
| Tax Code Expiry Index |
187.52 |
| Government Spending |
188.77 |
| Entitlements |
337.86 |
Global EPU Indices
| Month |
Global GDP-weighted |
Global PPP-weighted |
| 2025-10 |
389.43 |
404.56 |
| 2025-09 |
311.53 |
297.62 |
| 2025-08 |
348.56 |
332.07 |
| 2025-07 |
412.36 |
395.34 |
| 2025-06 |
371.66 |
358.56 |
| 2025-05 |
517.29 |
484.72 |
| 2025-04 |
628.12 |
584.65 |
| 2025-03 |
473.87 |
459.38 |
| 2025-02 |
330.81 |
319.96 |
| 2025-01 |
312.90 |
309.68 |
Note: Global EPU data not available for Nov 2025 - Feb 2026.
Country EPU Indices (Feb 2026)
| Country |
EPU Index |
| Germany (德国) |
789.65 |
| Canada (加拿大) |
653.03 |
| France (法国) |
501.77 |
| Russia (俄罗斯) |
452.63 |
| Europe (欧洲) |
373.37 |
| Brazil (巴西) |
327.46 |
| India (印度) |
327.49 |
| UK (英国) |
202.74 |
| Australia (澳大利亚) |
178.77 |
| Spain (西班牙) |
173.45 |
| Mexico (墨西哥) |
159.20 |
| Italy (意大利) |
104.21 |
Country EPU Indices (Jan 2026)
| Country |
EPU Index |
| Canada (加拿大) |
1141.55 |
| Germany (德国) |
940.00 |
| China (中国) |
889.82 |
| France (法国) |
458.23 |
| Europe (欧洲) |
426.58 |
| Brazil (巴西) |
411.07 |
| Japan Total (日本) |
167.11 |
| Japan Trade Policy |
365.88 |
| Japan Fiscal Policy |
203.65 |
| Japan FX Policy |
145.71 |
| Japan Monetary Policy |
103.18 |
| Russia (俄罗斯) |
328.05 |
| UK (英国) |
302.76 |
| Mexico (墨西哥) |
289.66 |
| Spain (西班牙) |
221.63 |
| India (印度) |
170.68 |
| Australia (澳大利亚) |
145.43 |
| Italy (意大利) |
94.40 |
Sheet 4: US & UK Daily Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (日)
- Rows: 15,038 data rows
- Date range: Most recent 2026-03-02
- Unit: Mean = 100
- Source IDs: G009067321 (US), G009067322 (UK)
Latest Daily Values (Feb-March 2026)
| Date |
US EPU |
UK EPU |
| 2026-03-02 |
630.90 |
270.80 |
| 2026-03-01 |
398.46 |
311.95 |
| 2026-02-28 |
162.65 |
194.54 |
| 2026-02-27 |
318.91 |
103.16 |
| 2026-02-26 |
314.78 |
278.21 |
| 2026-02-25 |
364.91 |
748.68 |
| 2026-02-24 |
678.15 |
310.32 |
| 2026-02-23 |
697.50 |
360.85 |
| 2026-02-22 |
629.56 |
418.42 |
| 2026-02-21 |
411.38 |
161.68 |
| 2026-02-20 |
470.95 |
165.52 |
| 2026-02-19 |
500.00 |
329.65 |
| 2026-02-18 |
241.49 |
273.98 |
| 2026-02-17 |
279.41 |
140.74 |
| 2026-02-16 |
275.96 |
98.28 |
| 2026-02-15 |
344.82 |
204.01 |
| 2026-02-14 |
364.02 |
110.19 |
| 2026-02-13 |
339.33 |
434.64 |
| 2026-02-12 |
439.19 |
369.44 |
| 2026-02-11 |
254.46 |
146.08 |
| 2026-02-10 |
207.63 |
246.51 |
| 2026-02-09 |
222.34 |
713.86 |
| 2026-02-08 |
487.14 |
301.28 |
| 2026-02-07 |
526.04 |
186.91 |
| 2026-02-06 |
173.00 |
179.67 |
| 2026-02-05 |
287.23 |
216.20 |
| 2026-02-04 |
305.78 |
184.03 |
| 2026-02-03 |
321.87 |
350.61 |
| 2026-02-02 |
196.45 |
171.72 |
| 2026-02-01 |
298.23 |
319.98 |
Sheet 5: Citi Economic Surprise Index - Daily (花旗经济意外指数(日))
- Rows: 5,997 data rows
- Date range: Most recent 2026-03-02
- Columns: US, China, Eurozone, Japan, Global, Emerging Markets, Asia-Pacific, BRIC, G10
- Source IDs: G005326174 (US), G005432431 (China), G005432432 (Eurozone), G005432433 (Japan), G005432436 (Global)
Latest Daily Values
| Date |
US |
China |
Eurozone |
Japan |
Global |
EM |
Asia-Pac |
BRIC |
G10 |
| 2026-03-02 |
36.1 |
-0.5 |
19.5 |
0.2 |
25.7 |
29.8 |
52.1 |
15.0 |
23.0 |
| 2026-02-27 |
31.9 |
-1.8 |
19.6 |
3.1 |
27.8 |
36.7 |
53.7 |
23.0 |
22.0 |
| 2026-02-26 |
30.2 |
-2.4 |
20.1 |
17.4 |
27.1 |
34.0 |
48.4 |
20.7 |
22.7 |
| 2026-02-25 |
29.0 |
-2.9 |
31.4 |
18.2 |
28.6 |
33.2 |
46.9 |
20.2 |
25.7 |
| 2026-02-24 |
29.0 |
-3.3 |
31.9 |
19.9 |
28.9 |
33.3 |
46.4 |
21.3 |
26.1 |
| 2026-02-23 |
27.4 |
-3.6 |
32.6 |
21.2 |
28.8 |
33.3 |
46.2 |
21.7 |
25.9 |
| 2026-02-20 |
25.7 |
-4.4 |
32.4 |
23.7 |
27.4 |
30.7 |
44.5 |
23.7 |
25.4 |
| 2026-02-19 |
43.4 |
-4.6 |
26.0 |
24.3 |
29.9 |
31.1 |
44.9 |
24.1 |
29.4 |
| 2026-02-18 |
36.4 |
-4.8 |
26.3 |
24.9 |
28.6 |
31.8 |
45.2 |
23.6 |
26.6 |
| 2026-02-17 |
33.5 |
-4.9 |
25.2 |
9.9 |
26.7 |
32.3 |
45.6 |
23.9 |
23.2 |
| 2026-02-16 |
34.3 |
-5.1 |
27.5 |
14.3 |
28.8 |
33.1 |
45.8 |
24.2 |
26.3 |
| 2026-02-13 |
35.6 |
-5.6 |
26.9 |
25.9 |
30.1 |
33.5 |
46.3 |
24.8 |
28.2 |
| 2026-02-12 |
36.1 |
-5.7 |
26.8 |
27.1 |
30.4 |
33.7 |
45.8 |
25.5 |
28.5 |
| 2026-02-11 |
38.5 |
-5.8 |
26.8 |
28.1 |
31.9 |
34.2 |
46.4 |
25.7 |
30.8 |
| 2026-02-10 |
34.4 |
-7.5 |
26.5 |
29.0 |
30.7 |
33.6 |
46.0 |
25.0 |
29.1 |
| 2026-02-09 |
38.7 |
-8.5 |
26.6 |
29.8 |
31.1 |
33.1 |
45.0 |
24.5 |
30.2 |
| 2026-02-06 |
39.5 |
-17.3 |
25.1 |
37.2 |
29.3 |
27.4 |
39.8 |
13.6 |
30.8 |
| 2026-02-05 |
38.0 |
-17.8 |
27.9 |
33.6 |
29.8 |
29.0 |
39.9 |
15.1 |
30.7 |
| 2026-02-04 |
53.3 |
-18.2 |
16.9 |
34.6 |
31.2 |
28.6 |
37.5 |
15.0 |
33.3 |
| 2026-02-03 |
53.4 |
-19.8 |
23.1 |
35.5 |
32.4 |
28.1 |
37.6 |
14.3 |
35.6 |
| 2026-02-02 |
53.5 |
-20.4 |
22.4 |
36.3 |
32.8 |
28.8 |
38.4 |
14.2 |
35.8 |
| 2026-01-30 |
40.3 |
-16.0 |
23.2 |
38.4 |
29.1 |
27.1 |
35.0 |
17.1 |
30.8 |
| 2026-01-29 |
37.5 |
-16.3 |
16.6 |
37.3 |
24.1 |
18.9 |
22.9 |
19.0 |
27.9 |
| 2026-01-28 |
25.5 |
-16.7 |
6.1 |
35.6 |
18.8 |
17.9 |
22.5 |
17.7 |
19.7 |
| 2026-01-27 |
25.7 |
-17.3 |
7.0 |
36.5 |
18.2 |
15.9 |
19.2 |
9.8 |
20.0 |
| 2026-01-26 |
28.5 |
-17.9 |
8.7 |
37.3 |
18.7 |
14.6 |
16.8 |
9.6 |
21.6 |
| 2026-01-23 |
25.2 |
-19.0 |
15.8 |
39.4 |
21.2 |
19.3 |
21.9 |
12.9 |
22.7 |
| 2026-01-22 |
25.2 |
-19.3 |
17.4 |
39.9 |
19.5 |
16.9 |
16.8 |
13.1 |
21.4 |
| 2026-01-21 |
17.6 |
-19.6 |
17.9 |
45.1 |
18.9 |
19.9 |
23.0 |
13.3 |
18.5 |
| 2026-01-20 |
18.3 |
-19.9 |
20.6 |
45.6 |
19.9 |
20.5 |
24.6 |
13.7 |
19.6 |
Sheet 6: ZEW Economic Sentiment Indices - Monthly (ZEW经济现状指数(月))
- Rows: 317 data rows
- Date range: Most recent Feb 2026
- Columns: 62 indicators covering current situation, expectations, inflation, interest rates, equities, FX, industry, and China indices
- Unit: Survey balance (diffusion index)
Core ZEW Indices (Last 14 Months)
| Month |
EZ Current |
DE Current |
US Current |
EZ Expect |
DE Expect |
US Expect |
| 2026-02 |
-13.6 |
-65.9 |
19.6 |
39.4 |
58.3 |
-5.1 |
| 2026-01 |
-18.1 |
-72.7 |
17.7 |
40.8 |
59.6 |
-3.0 |
| 2025-12 |
-28.5 |
-81.0 |
-0.6 |
33.7 |
45.8 |
-12.0 |
| 2025-11 |
-27.3 |
-78.7 |
-0.5 |
25.0 |
38.5 |
-21.1 |
| 2025-10 |
-31.8 |
-80.0 |
0.5 |
22.7 |
39.3 |
-23.6 |
| 2025-09 |
-28.8 |
-76.4 |
-3.3 |
26.1 |
37.3 |
-30.2 |
| 2025-08 |
-31.2 |
-68.6 |
0.1 |
25.1 |
34.7 |
-41.2 |
| 2025-07 |
-24.2 |
-59.5 |
-5.9 |
36.1 |
52.7 |
-34.2 |
| 2025-06 |
-30.7 |
-72.0 |
-17.3 |
35.3 |
47.5 |
-41.9 |
| 2025-05 |
-42.4 |
-82.0 |
-25.4 |
11.6 |
25.2 |
-48.2 |
| 2025-04 |
-50.9 |
-81.2 |
-23.9 |
-18.5 |
-14.0 |
-71.5 |
| 2025-03 |
-45.2 |
-87.6 |
6.7 |
39.8 |
51.6 |
-48.7 |
| 2025-02 |
-45.3 |
-88.5 |
42.6 |
24.2 |
26.0 |
1.3 |
| 2025-01 |
-53.8 |
-90.4 |
40.1 |
18.0 |
10.3 |
9.0 |
ZEW Inflation Indices
| Month |
EZ Inflation |
DE Inflation |
US Inflation |
| 2026-02 |
0.1 |
-2.3 |
43.1 |
| 2026-01 |
-7.6 |
-6.0 |
44.2 |
| 2025-12 |
-4.6 |
-1.7 |
54.9 |
| 2025-11 |
-2.7 |
-0.5 |
62.6 |
| 2025-10 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
66.3 |
| 2025-09 |
-3.4 |
-0.6 |
69.5 |
| 2025-08 |
-6.7 |
-5.1 |
74.5 |
| 2025-07 |
-5.8 |
-5.2 |
64.3 |
| 2025-06 |
-14.7 |
-13.7 |
60.0 |
| 2025-05 |
-18.1 |
-18.6 |
70.7 |
| 2025-04 |
-3.1 |
-5.0 |
75.8 |
ZEW Interest Rate Indices
| Month |
EZ Short-term |
US Short-term |
DE Long-term |
US Long-term |
| 2026-02 |
-7.4 |
-60.8 |
35.6 |
40.6 |
| 2026-01 |
-7.7 |
-65.6 |
44.5 |
44.1 |
| 2025-12 |
-10.8 |
-73.9 |
49.2 |
44.9 |
| 2025-11 |
-14.3 |
-66.7 |
35.1 |
30.8 |
| 2025-10 |
-23.3 |
-69.3 |
38.3 |
34.1 |
ZEW Equity Market Indices
| Month |
EZ STOXX50 |
DE DAX |
US DJIA |
| 2026-02 |
30.3 |
32.5 |
25.1 |
| 2026-01 |
35.2 |
35.9 |
31.5 |
| 2025-12 |
41.3 |
36.3 |
30.2 |
| 2025-11 |
30.0 |
30.9 |
22.5 |
| 2025-10 |
22.0 |
18.6 |
12.6 |
ZEW EUR/USD Exchange Rate Index
| Month |
EUR/USD |
| 2026-02 |
-44.5 |
| 2026-01 |
-44.8 (implied from data) |
ZEW Industry Sentiment (Feb 2026)
| Sector |
Index |
| IT |
48.4 |
| Construction |
43.2 |
| Services |
33.7 |
| Banking |
32.2 |
| Electronics |
31.3 |
| Insurance |
29.0 |
| Utilities |
26.0 |
| Telecom |
24.4 |
| Mechanical Engineering |
21.2 |
| Chemical & Pharma |
13.8 |
| Retail & Consumer |
11.5 |
| Steel |
3.6 |
| Automotive |
-7.2 |
ZEW China Indices (Last 14 Months)
| Month |
CN Expectations |
CN Current |
CN Inflation |
CN Short Rate |
CN Long Rate |
CN Shanghai |
EUR/CNY |
| 2026-02 |
13.1 |
-31.5 |
10.5 |
-25.4 |
5.2 |
24.1 |
-14.6 |
| 2026-01 |
14.9 |
-31.0 |
17.5 |
-28.3 |
8.5 |
38.1 |
-15.2 |
| 2025-12 |
14.4 |
-36.6 |
11.2 |
-26.0 |
15.3 |
34.7 |
-14.4 |
| 2025-11 |
9.8 |
-33.8 |
13.7 |
-19.4 |
6.3 |
27.6 |
-9.0 |
| 2025-10 |
1.9 |
-34.8 |
9.1 |
-21.5 |
8.6 |
27.0 |
-15.9 |
| 2025-09 |
6.2 |
-32.8 |
13.1 |
-24.1 |
2.2 |
20.6 |
-16.1 |
| 2025-08 |
3.9 |
-40.7 |
9.8 |
-26.1 |
-0.1 |
13.7 |
-21.0 |
| 2025-07 |
4.2 |
-54.4 |
6.0 |
-27.9 |
2.1 |
16.3 |
-12.7 |
| 2025-06 |
3.0 |
-55.7 |
12.3 |
-38.9 |
-0.7 |
11.4 |
-24.2 |
| 2025-05 |
-10.3 |
-59.5 |
9.8 |
-38.4 |
-5.5 |
12.6 |
-19.1 |
| 2025-04 |
-38.1 |
-63.7 |
16.3 |
-32.5 |
0.1 |
-7.1 |
-21.8 |
| 2025-03 |
8.0 |
-52.5 |
22.0 |
-26.8 |
10.5 |
20.4 |
-5.0 |
| 2025-02 |
16.7 |
-58.9 |
8.2 |
-39.2 |
-7.4 |
22.2 |
-6.6 |
| 2025-01 |
13.9 |
-67.5 |
3.2 |
-52.4 |
-21.9 |
13.0 |
-18.2 |
ZEW Brent Oil Commodity Index
This series (停 = discontinued) has no data for the recent period. All values are None for the last 14+ months.
Data Quality Notes
- GPR Daily 2026-03-02: The main GPR index reads 0 while sub-indices show extreme values (Acts=557.9, Threats=805.0). This is likely a data reporting anomaly or partial-day data.
- Global EPU monthly indices (GDP-weighted and PPP-weighted) are not available for Nov 2025 through Feb 2026.
- ZEW Brent Oil index is discontinued (停).
- Several country-level EPU indices have gaps (China, Japan, Hong Kong intermittent).
- Citi Surprise indices for Canada, UK, and Major Economies are discontinued.